Uncovering Hidden Truths: The Power of Patterns

In the world of systems thinking, there’s a concept known as the systems thinking iceberg. This model illustrates how the deeper layers of a system often go unnoticed. The iceberg analogy is intentional—only 10% of an iceberg is visible above the surface, while the remaining 90% lies hidden beneath.

Similarly, in our daily lives, we tend to focus only on surface-level events. We form opinions based on what we see, rarely diving deeper to uncover the true underlying structures and beliefs shaping our reality. However, when we train ourselves to look beyond the obvious, we gain powerful insights.

The first layer beneath the surface is patterns. Recognizing patterns helps us see that an event isn’t just an isolated occurrence. Perhaps we repeatedly struggle with a particular subject in school, or we notice that a friend frequently borrows money. These patterns serve as clues—signals that something deeper is at play.

Digging further, we uncover the structures that create and sustain these patterns. Rules, laws, traditions, and cultural norms all influence behavior and often give rise to recurring trends. And at the very core lie mental models—the deeply held beliefs that shape our decisions, societies, and institutions.

Recently, while reading Resilience: The Science of Mastering Life’s Greatest Challenges, I came across a powerful example of this concept. The book, which explores how people develop resilience in the face of adversity, includes the story of a prisoner of war who found strength in a verse from Ecclesiastes. Here is that section of the Bible:

“I returned, and saw under the sun, that the race is not to the swift, nor the battle to the strong, neither yet bread to the wise, nor yet riches to men of understanding, nor yet favour to men of skill; but time and chance happeneth to them all.”

This was my first encounter with this passage, and as I explored further, I was struck by how closely Ecclesiastes aligns with the Tao Te Ching, despite originating from different cultures and historical periods. Recognizing this pattern led me to discover similar perspectives across ancient texts.

Patterns have a way of revealing themselves, sometimes unexpectedly. When we notice them and take the time to investigate, they lead us to a deeper understanding of the world. If we remain at the surface, we miss the wisdom hidden beneath. But when we open our minds to the systematic connections around us, we unlock a greater level of insight and knowledge.